Thursday’s game that pits the Samford Bulldogs (21-8, 11-5 SoCon) versus the VMI Keydets (13-16, 7-9 SoCon) at Cameron Hall has a good chance to be a one-sided matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 80-70 in favor of Samford, who is big favorites by our model. Tipoff is at 6:00 PM ET on February 27.

Based on our computer prediction, Samford is projected to cover the spread (9.5) against VMI. The two sides are expected to go under the 152.5 over/under.

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Samford vs. VMI Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, February 27, 2025
• Time: 6:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Lexington, Virginia
• Venue: Cameron Hall
• Line: Samford -9.5
• Point total: 152.5
• Moneyline (to win): Samford -429, VMI +330

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Samford vs. VMI Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Samford 80, VMI 70

Spread & Total Prediction for Samford vs. VMI

• Pick ATS: Samford (-9.5)
• Pick OU: Under (152.5)

Samford’s record against the spread so far this season is 14-13-0, while VMI’s is 18-7-0. The Bulldogs have hit the over in nine games, while Keydets games have gone over 10 times. The teams score 156.3 points per game, 3.8 more points than this matchup’s total. Samford is 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its past 10 contests, while VMI has gone 7-3 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Samford Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs’ +274 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 9.5 points per game) is a result of scoring 82.6 points per game (19th in college basketball) while allowing 73.1 per contest (218th in college basketball).
• The 32.5 rebounds per game Samford averages rank 156th in college basketball. Its opponents record 31.7 per outing.
• Samford makes 3.0 more threes per contest than the opposition, 11.0 (third-most in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.0.
• The Bulldogs rank 77th in college basketball by averaging 100.0 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 70th in college basketball, allowing 88.6 points per 100 possessions.
• Samford has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing 12.8 per game (312th in college basketball action) while forcing 15.3 (eighth in college basketball).

VMI Performance Insights

• The Keydets’ +40 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 1.4 points per game) is a result of putting up 73.7 points per game (193rd in college basketball) while giving up 72.3 per outing (196th in college basketball).
• VMI pulls down 31.8 rebounds per game (191st in college basketball) while allowing 33.5 per outing to opponents. It is outrebounded by 1.7 boards per game.
• VMI hits 9.2 three-pointers per game (55th in college basketball) at a 33.0% rate (241st in college basketball), compared to the 9.4 its opponents make, shooting 33.4% from beyond the arc.
• VMI has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 10.9 per game (143rd in college basketball) while forcing 12.3 (101st in college basketball).

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