Thursday’s contest at Carmichael Arena has the No. 12 North Carolina Tar Heels (21-4) squaring off against the Virginia Tech Hokies (16-8) at 7:00 PM ET. Our computer prediction is a lopsided 75-61 victory, as our model heavily favors North Carolina.

Based on our computer prediction, North Carolina projects to cover the 11.5-point spread in its matchup against Virginia Tech. The over/under is listed at 134.5, and the two sides are projected to hit the over.

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North Carolina vs. Virginia Tech Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, February 13, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV channel: ACC Network X
• Where: Chapel Hill, North Carolina
• Venue: Carmichael Arena
• Line: North Carolina -11.5
• Point total: 134.5
• Moneyline (to win): North Carolina -800, Virginia Tech +550

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North Carolina vs. Virginia Tech Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  North Carolina 75, Virginia Tech 61

Spread & Total Prediction for North Carolina vs. Virginia Tech

• Pick ATS: North Carolina (-11.5)
• Pick OU: Over (134.5)

North Carolina is 11-10-0 against the spread this season compared to Virginia Tech’s 5-8-0 ATS record. The Tar Heels have hit the over in nine games, while Hokies games have gone over six times. The teams combine to score 148.4 points per game, 13.9 more points than this matchup’s total. North Carolina is 4-6 against the spread and 8-2 overall over its last 10 contests, while Virginia Tech has gone 5-5 against the spread and 4-6 overall.

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North Carolina Performance Insights

• The Tar Heels have a +432 scoring differential, topping opponents by 17.3 points per game. They’re putting up 72.4 points per game to rank 74th in college basketball and are giving up 55.1 per outing to rank 19th in college basketball.
• North Carolina comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 4.6 boards. It is grabbing 36.1 rebounds per game (35th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 31.5 per outing.
• North Carolina makes 7.8 three-pointers per game (47th in college basketball), 2.5 more than its opponents (5.3).
• The Tar Heels rank 74th in college basketball by averaging 90.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 12th in college basketball, allowing 68.6 points per 100 possessions.
• North Carolina has committed 12.3 turnovers per game (31st in college basketball action), 4.6 fewer than the 16.9 it forces on average (104th in college basketball).

Virginia Tech Performance Insights

• The Hokies outscore opponents by 7.7 points per game (posting 76.0 points per game, 42nd in college basketball, and allowing 68.3 per outing, 269th in college basketball) and have a +187 scoring differential.
• Virginia Tech averages 31.4 rebounds per game (209th in college basketball) while allowing 28.5 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 2.9 boards per game.
• Virginia Tech makes 7.1 three-pointers per game (97th in college basketball) while shooting 37.0% from beyond the arc (16th in college basketball). It is making 1.8 more threes than its opponents, who drain 5.3 per game at 30.4%.
• Virginia Tech forces 15.5 turnovers per game (177th in college basketball) while committing 15.0 (154th in college basketball).

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