Thursday’s contest features the Liberty Flames (19-5, 7-4 CUSA) and the New Mexico State Aggies (12-11, 5-5 CUSA) clashing at Pan American Center (on February 13) at 9:00 PM ET. This matchup, according to our computer prediction, will result in a 72-67 win for Liberty.

According to our computer prediction, Liberty is a good bet to cover the spread, which currently sits at 4.5. The two teams are projected to exceed the 132.5 over/under.

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Liberty vs. New Mexico State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, February 13, 2025
• Time: 9:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Las Cruces, New Mexico
• Venue: Pan American Center
• Line: Liberty -4.5
• Point total: 132.5
• Moneyline (to win): Liberty -182, New Mexico State +150

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Liberty vs. New Mexico State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Liberty 72, New Mexico State 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Liberty vs. New Mexico State

• Pick ATS: Liberty (-4.5)
• Pick OU: Over (132.5)

Liberty is 14-7-0 against the spread this season compared to New Mexico State’s 8-12-0 ATS record. The Flames are 9-12-0 and the Aggies are 7-13-0 in terms of hitting the over. The teams score 148 points per game, 15.5 more points than this matchup’s total. In the past 10 contests, Liberty is 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall while New Mexico State has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Liberty Performance Insights

• The Flames have a +367 scoring differential, topping opponents by 15.2 points per game. They’re putting up 77.0 points per game to rank 103rd in college basketball and are giving up 61.8 per contest to rank eighth in college basketball.
• The 30.7 rebounds per game Liberty averages rank 274th in college basketball. Its opponents pull down 31.0 per contest.
• Liberty connects on 10.4 three-pointers per game (16th in college basketball) while shooting 38.0% from beyond the arc (23rd in college basketball). It is making 5.0 more threes per contest than its opponents, who drain 5.4 per game while shooting 27.6%.
• The Flames record 103.7 points per 100 possessions (30th in college basketball), while giving up 83.1 points per 100 possessions (12th in college basketball).
• Liberty wins the turnover battle by 3.0 per game, committing 9.4 (20th in college basketball) while its opponents average 12.4.

New Mexico State Performance Insights

• The Aggies are outscoring opponents by 2.8 points per game, with a +66 scoring differential overall. They put up 71.0 points per game (266th in college basketball) and give up 68.2 per contest (74th in college basketball).
• The 35.1 rebounds per game New Mexico State accumulates rank 47th in the country, 2.7 more than the 32.4 its opponents grab.
• New Mexico State knocks down 7.7 three-pointers per game (177th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.9. It shoots 32.9% from deep, and its opponents shoot 29.8%.
• New Mexico State forces 10.6 turnovers per game (261st in college basketball) while committing 11.1 (165th in college basketball).

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