VMI vs. Citadel Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 8

Published 11:28 pm Friday, February 7, 2025

Saturday’s game between the VMI Keydets (11-13, 5-6 SoCon) and Citadel Bulldogs (5-17, 0-11 SoCon) going head to head at Cameron Hall has a projected final score of 76-66 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of VMI, who is listed as the favorite by our model. The game will begin at 1:00 PM ET on February 8.

According to our computer prediction, VMI should cover the spread, which is currently listed at 8.5. The two teams are projected to exceed the 136.5 over/under.

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VMI vs. Citadel Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, February 8, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Lexington, Virginia
  • Venue: Cameron Hall
  • Line: VMI -8.5
  • Point total: 136.5
  • Moneyline (to win): VMI -385, Citadel +290

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VMI vs. Citadel Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    VMI 76, Citadel 66

Spread & Total Prediction for VMI vs. Citadel

  • Pick ATS: VMI (-8.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (136.5)

VMI has a 15-5-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to Citadel, who is 6-12-0 ATS. The Keydets have gone over the point total in eight games, while Bulldogs games have gone over nine times. The two teams score 142.8 points per game, 6.3 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 contests, VMI has an 8-2 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall. Citadel has gone 3-7 against the spread and 0-10 overall in its last 10 matches.

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VMI Performance Insights

  • The Keydets have a +88 scoring differential, topping opponents by 3.7 points per game. They’re putting up 75.3 points per game to rank 155th in college basketball and are allowing 71.6 per contest to rank 190th in college basketball.
  • The 32.7 rebounds per game VMI averages rank 154th in the nation. Its opponents record 33 per contest.
  • VMI connects on 9.5 three-pointers per game (39th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 9.8 on average.
  • The Keydets rank 164th in college basketball by averaging 96.3 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 162nd in college basketball, allowing 91.6 points per 100 possessions.
  • VMI has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 10.7 per game (112th in college basketball action) while forcing 12.5 (104th in college basketball).

Citadel Performance Insights

  • The Bulldogs put up 67.5 points per game (327th in college basketball) while allowing 74.6 per contest (263rd in college basketball). They have a -156 scoring differential and have been outscored by 7.1 points per game.
  • The 30.7 rebounds per game Citadel accumulates rank 277th in the nation, 2.3 fewer than the 33 its opponents record.
  • Citadel knocks down 8.2 three-pointers per game (132nd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.6. It shoots 31% from deep, and its opponents shoot 35.3%.
  • Citadel loses the turnover battle by 1.7 per game, committing 12.4 (280th in college basketball) while its opponents average 10.7.

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