Liberty vs. Western Kentucky Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 2

Published 7:29 pm Wednesday, January 1, 2025

Thursday’s game between the Liberty Flames (12-1, 0-0 CUSA) and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (9-4, 0-0 CUSA) at Liberty Arena should be a lopsided matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 79-67 and heavily favors Liberty to take home the win. Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET on January 2.

According to our computer prediction, Liberty should cover the spread, which is listed at 8.5. The two sides are projected to go over the 145.5 total.

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Liberty vs. Western Kentucky Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Thursday, January 2, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV: CBS Sports Network
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Paramount+ (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Lynchburg, Virginia
  • Venue: Liberty Arena
  • Line: Liberty -8.5
  • Point total: 145.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Liberty -400, Western Kentucky +310

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Liberty vs. Western Kentucky Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Liberty 79, Western Kentucky 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Liberty vs. Western Kentucky

  • Pick ATS: Liberty (-8.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (145.5)

Liberty’s record against the spread this season is 8-2-0, and Western Kentucky’s is 7-4-0. The Flames have a 5-5-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Hilltoppers have a record of 5-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams score 162 points per game, 16.5 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 contests, Liberty is 8-2 against the spread and 9-1 overall while Western Kentucky has gone 7-3 against the spread and 7-3 overall.

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Liberty Performance Insights

  • The Flames outscore opponents by 23.2 points per game (scoring 81.4 points per game to rank 65th in college basketball while allowing 58.2 per contest to rank sixth in college basketball) and have a +302 scoring differential overall.
  • Liberty pulls down 33.5 rebounds per game (164th in college basketball) while conceding 27.2 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 6.3 boards per game.
  • Liberty makes 11.2 three-pointers per game (eighth-most in college basketball) at a 39% rate (23rd in college basketball), compared to the 5.5 per game its opponents make at a 28.2% rate.
  • The Flames average 109.2 points per 100 possessions (ninth in college basketball), while giving up 78 points per 100 possessions (eighth in college basketball).
  • Liberty has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 10.2 per game (62nd in college basketball action) while forcing 12.8 (130th in college basketball).

Western Kentucky Performance Insights

  • The Hilltoppers outscore opponents by 4.4 points per game (posting 80.6 points per game, 77th in college basketball, and allowing 76.2 per contest, 299th in college basketball) and have a +58 scoring differential.
  • The 34.3 rebounds per game Western Kentucky accumulates rank 119th in the country, 3.3 fewer than the 37.6 its opponents pull down.
  • Western Kentucky connects on 8.9 three-pointers per game (96th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 8.9 on average.
  • Western Kentucky has typically won the turnover battle this season, committing 11.2 per game (154th in college basketball) while forcing 13.5 (76th in college basketball).

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